Super Bowl ....outside the box trend ....

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Feedback fuels the fire to share info with you guys

Let me know what you guys are thinking here ?


  1. Personal Digging … Fluke Trend or Legit Trend ???????
  1. YOUR CALL
  1. Since 2010 / Last 14 Super Bowls
  1. 28 Teams made the Super Bowl
  1. 6/28 or 21% Teams that made the SB
  1. Had a Reg Season Loss of 25 or More Points
  1. So that's a 79% Chance of NOT Making the SB
  1. ONLY 2/28 or 7% Teams made the SB
  1. had a Reg Season Loss of 30 or More Points
  1. 2012 SB Champ Balt ( Qb Flacco ) Lost by the 30 at Hou
  1. 2020 SB Champ TB ( Brady ) Lost by 35 at home N.O.
  1. So that's a 93% Chance of them NOT making the SB
  1. I have been holding the trend back for quite some time
  1. but shared with our twitter …but now sharing with you guys
  1. These were the teams that had Regular Season Losses of 25 or More
  1. that I eliminated Future Wagers on myself
  1. besides one team …. Detroit
  1. Jack lost by 31/ 93% Chance NO SB
  1. Seattle lost by 34 / 93% Chance NO SB
  1. Playoff Teams
  1. Cleve Lost by 25/ 79% Chance NO SB
  1. Dallas Lost by 32 / 93% Chance NO SB
  1. Miami Lost by 37 / 93% Chance NO SB
  1. Still Remaining
  1. Detroit Lost by 32 / 93% Chance NO SB
  1. I still put a few $$ on them regardless of the 93%
  1. chance of them not making the SB
  1. The Rest of the Playoff Teams
  1. have a shot at reaching the SB
  1. For me looking at what's available at Draftkings
  1. Balt vs SF + 110
  1. Kc vs Sf + 220
  1. You can use the Lions to reach the SB ( Your Call )
  1. Balt vs Det + 450
  1. Kc vs Det + 700
  1. I used a similar tactic in Cbb March Madness last year
  1. $25 Wager on Uconn at 14-1 winning $350
 

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Tickets to watch Super Bowl LVI in-person range from upward of $5,400 to nearly $100,000, according to ticket sale websites. I like Detroit and will their "D" shut down SF....
 

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Feedback fuels the fire to share info with you guys

Let me know what you guys are thinking here ?


  1. Personal Digging … Fluke Trend or Legit Trend ???????
  1. YOUR CALL
  1. Since 2010 / Last 14 Super Bowls
  1. 28 Teams made the Super Bowl
  1. 6/28 or 21% Teams that made the SB
  1. Had a Reg Season Loss of 25 or More Points
  1. So that's a 79% Chance of NOT Making the SB
  1. ONLY 2/28 or 7% Teams made the SB
  1. had a Reg Season Loss of 30 or More Points
  1. 2012 SB Champ Balt ( Qb Flacco ) Lost by the 30 at Hou
  1. 2020 SB Champ TB ( Brady ) Lost by 35 at home N.O.
  1. So that's a 93% Chance of them NOT making the SB
  1. I have been holding the trend back for quite some time
  1. but shared with our twitter …but now sharing with you guys
  1. These were the teams that had Regular Season Losses of 25 or More
  1. that I eliminated Future Wagers on myself
  1. besides one team …. Detroit
  1. Jack lost by 31/ 93% Chance NO SB
  1. Seattle lost by 34 / 93% Chance NO SB
  1. Playoff Teams
  1. Cleve Lost by 25/ 79% Chance NO SB
  1. Dallas Lost by 32 / 93% Chance NO SB
  1. Miami Lost by 37 / 93% Chance NO SB
  1. Still Remaining
  1. Detroit Lost by 32 / 93% Chance NO SB
  1. I still put a few $$ on them regardless of the 93%
  1. chance of them not making the SB
  1. The Rest of the Playoff Teams
  1. have a shot at reaching the SB
  1. For me looking at what's available at Draftkings
  1. Balt vs SF + 110
  1. Kc vs Sf + 220
  1. You can use the Lions to reach the SB ( Your Call )
  1. Balt vs Det + 450
  1. Kc vs Det + 700
  1. I used a similar tactic in Cbb March Madness last year
  1. $25 Wager on Uconn at 14-1 winning $350
Great info
 

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Tickets to watch Super Bowl LVI in-person range from upward of $5,400 to nearly $100,000, according to ticket sale websites. I like Detroit and will their "D" shut down SF....
Appreciate the feedback

I'm pulling for Detroit as well ........regardless of any trend

Enjoy the game bro ... I'm pumped
 

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Good stuff.
Thought this was a bit interesting.
Number 1 seeds who win by 17 or more are 9-2 SU in the Championship game.
Only 2 losses teams went on to win the SB
2001 Pats and 2018 Pats.
 

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Good stuff.
Thought this was a bit interesting.
Number 1 seeds who win by 17 or more are 9-2 SU in the Championship game.
Only 2 losses teams went on to win the SB
2001 Pats and 2018 Pats.
So you referring to Balt then? Thanks for interesting info!!
 

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NFL Champions .... 2000-2023 ...last 24 years .... there has been ZERO Champions that won the Super Bowl with above 7.1 Def Yards / Attempt ............. not saying the streak won't be broke this year but ...... Detroit 7.8 Yards / Per Attempt .... don't look good ............ GB ... who should have beaten SF last weekend had Def Yards / Attempt 7.3 .......the other 3 teams that remain in the Playoffs .....Def Yards / Per Attempt ..... Balt 5.9 .....Kc 6.0 ....SF 6.4 ........... My pick is the Ravens to win it ............Not sure really why I bother posting this kind of info ....nobody really cares about my meaningless types of trends .... but .... to each his own ...LOL
 

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Went back from 1990 to Present Day

#1 Seeds that Won Divisional Game by 17 or More Points

are 14-6 SU or 70% Winners in their Championship Games

Pretty Interesting find here is that just 1 of the 6 Losses

in the Championship Game were by a 3 Seed or Higher

1999 Jacksonville # 1 Seed Won 62-7 in Divisional Game

Lost to # 4 Seed Tenn 14-33

The 5 Other Losses by # 1 Seeds all came against # 2 Seeds

This Year we have Balt winning their Divisional Game 34-10

they face a # 3 Seed KC

Your Call ....just trying to help

also

Those 14 # 1 Seeds that Won their Championship Game

after winning their Divisional Game by 17 or more points

are just 7 Wins and 7 Losses in the Super Bowl

4 out of the 7 Losses were to a # 1 Seed
2 Losses were to a # 2 Seed
1 Loss was to a #4 Seed

The Losses are Below

1991 Buff Lost to a # 1 Seed in SB
2001 Rams lost to a # 2 Seed in SB
2009 Indy lost to a 1 Seed in SB

2011 NE lost to a # 4 Seed in SB
2017 NE lost to a # 1 seed in SB
2019 SF lost to a # 2 Seed in SB
2022 Philly lost to a # 1 Seed in SB

So if Baltimore beats Kc in Championship Game

SF is # 1 Seed
Detroit # 3 Seed ... Only ONE ... number 3 Seed
or Higher has beaten a # 1 seed after their opp ( Balt )
won by 17 or more in Divisional Round and went on
to the Super Bowl

Tried to make it as simple as possible here

Feedback keeps me posting info
 

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it should be
noted the Ravens gave up the fewest points/game in the league this
year (16.5), and the Chiefs gave up the second-fewest (17.3). When
a conference title game pairs the top two scoring defenses in the
league, the winner has gone on to win the Super Bowl in five of five
instances. Remember that in two weeks.

Just to throw it out there also when a road dog wins the conference championship game I believe they are 10-0 ats last 10 in the SB. I started a thread a few years ago about it.
 

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it should be
noted the Ravens gave up the fewest points/game in the league this
year (16.5), and the Chiefs gave up the second-fewest (17.3). When
a conference title game pairs the top two scoring defenses in the
league, the winner has gone on to win the Super Bowl in five of five
instances. Remember that in two weeks.

Just to throw it out there also when a road dog wins the conference championship game I believe they are 10-0 ats last 10 in the SB. I started a thread a few years ago about it.
Ex ....outstanding work bro and thank u for the share
 

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...........Not sure really why I bother posting this kind of info ....nobody really cares about my meaningless types of trends .... but .... to each his own ...LOL
Not so fast my friend!! I love seeing the “meaningless” trends…there’s usually something to them. Keep it up, thanks for sharing!!
 

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Ex ....outstanding work bro and thank u for the share
it should be
noted the Ravens gave up the fewest points/game in the league this
year (16.5), and the Chiefs gave up the second-fewest (17.3). When
a conference title game pairs the top two scoring defenses in the
league, the winner has gone on to win the Super Bowl in five of five
instances. Remember that in two weeks.

Just to throw it out there also when a road dog wins the conference championship game I believe they are 10-0 ats last 10 in the SB. I started a thread a few years ago about it.
Exploited17: You should give credit where credit is due. That first trend you cited regarding when the best defenses play each other - was taken directly from Playbook's Mid-Week Alert newsletter. Credit to Marc Lawrence.
Kaboom - keep up the great trends you have been posting. That's two pretty potent negatives on the Detroit Lions and I'm certainly paying attention to them.
 

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Exploited17: You should give credit where credit is due. That first trend you cited regarding when the best defenses play each other - was taken directly from Playbook's Mid-Week Alert newsletter. Credit to Marc Lawrence.
Kaboom - keep up the great trends you have been posting. That's two pretty potent negatives on the Detroit Lions and I'm certainly paying attention to them.
Almost all info comes from somewhere else. It isn't new. Even if you never heard of it before chnace are you didn't discover/create the trend/system Who knows who originally noticed it. And if you think Lawrence is the first person to know or tell people that he probably isn't. All I did was share info which btw way has been around for quite some time because I have heard it years before.
 

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Not so fast my friend!! I love seeing the “meaningless” trends…there’s usually something to them. Keep it up, thanks for sharing!!
Thanks Doogie ... just want to make sure there is still and interest in my work....good or bad
 

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Exploited17: You should give credit where credit is due. That first trend you cited regarding when the best defenses play each other - was taken directly from Playbook's Mid-Week Alert newsletter. Credit to Marc Lawrence.
Kaboom - keep up the great trends you have been posting. That's two pretty potent negatives on the Detroit Lions and I'm certainly paying attention to them.
Gander ... appreciate the kudos bro ....we never know ...but Detroit can surprise .... just things I've noticed bro

BOL
 

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Thank you, Kaboom! Love your analysis in MLB and equally as much here for NFL. Best of luck this weekend and in the future.
 

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